If we could strike 15 of these 3/1 trebles we would be into a healthy profit situation. It's all a mat. The first time, the level stake return was only 95 units. Start Bank – Self Explanatory. You bet as follows: (a) Three quinellas each race at $4 each, total $24. I think he was right. Learn more about the. He felt the strength of his betting was a very careful selection of his bets, mostly choosing short-priced favourites, and then applying. Join Now for free. 2) To enable higher stakes, than were previously used, to be placed to play up winners and winning runs (Summer) in the knowledge that the long losing run would not cause the system to fail. If they are false or vulnerable and you consciously bet against them to begin with, stand by your guns. Don said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than a game of chance. In other words if there are 12 starters in a race, the horse must be in the top 6 of betting. Staking Plan #1 presents a particularly bad sequence of 50 favourites, producing only 15 winners and level stakes loss of over 12 units, a Loss On Turnover (LOT) of 24. The kind of staking plan that works best for them may be different from someone following long-shot bets on horses, or someone betting on the over 2. This can lead to occasions where value can still be found on selections at a short price. 1. A further extension of this idea would be to chase winning doubles with the favourites in each race. Well it really is quite simple and soundly based. These elements will determine the choice of your staking plan. Expert tips from our racing analysts. Place Level Stakes Loss on turnover: -6. Arial,Bold"AusSportsBetting. A staking plan based on the approach of betting MORE for a place than for a win is known as The 10 Per Cent Carve up. 5 – 5, where 1 unit = $10. It is usually hoped that the eventual winner will return enough to pay off the losses to date and still yield a profit. Some punters like to bet for a win, others for a place, still others love the quinellas or trifectas, or doubles. They are offered on a first-come, first-served basis and can be sold out anytime. If you only wanted to chase . Odds On Betting Systems Free Horse Racing Tips. If you back outsiders, you could go 50 races without a winner. For your weekend betting action. The Fibonacci Staking plan also goes bankrupt in 6% of simulations with 1 point stakes and only got a profit of 286 points. That then becomes the Initial Base Stake. Saturday Last Start Statistics. 50 and $3. However, with the 10K system, stakes gradually diminish as each week goes by whilst the odds of horses backed increase! In this way we overcome the fundamental deficiencies of the usual type of staking system. A2. Beneficially, we advise that you use not more than 3% progression to avoid unnecessary liabilities. There was scope for finding three at evens or thereabouts, and linking them. If we could strike 15 of these 3/1 trebles we would be into a healthy profit situation. Very nice indeed! The strike-rate has. The tried and proven 6-Point Divisor Plan is still regarded as one of the best for those punters who draw up sensible selections. The second favourite must be 7-2 or longer in the betting. The spreadsheet allows inputs for the staking of 100 races or other events. Finally, it is worth noting that some of the strategies we’ve highlighted require deep research, which involves spending a lot of time before placing any actual bets. The Staking Plans Book: The. So named because the target is a mere 10 cents (or a multiple thereof) per race, with safety a paramount consideration. Register now for FREE. 60 odds, are generally considered short odds betting or low odds. It provides stake recommendations and calculates your hypothetical profit had you strictly followed each of the four staking plans: level stakes, percentage stakes, square root stakes and the Kelly Criterion. If you took the $50 as the profit, your square root figure to be added to the next Base Bet would be $7. In the last two parts of this series I have looked at various aspects of staking. In his book Commonsense Betting, which is arguably the finest book written on the betting and the mathematics of horse-racing, US author Dick Mitchell wrote about various staking plans. Discover a plethora of tactics and strategies that seasoned. Th. The approach is to. They think staking plans are a magical technique that can turn a loss into a profit. Starts Since Spell Statistics. Most stick to the tried-and-proven 6-Point Divisor Plan, about which I wrote a major article in P. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. 50 on each race. . In. It's not something they can ever be cured of, but this staking plan at least attempts to put them in a better position to overcome the inherent financial dangers posed by chain betting. Now in Online Software and Spreadsheet. OK so maybe you can only afford a bankroll of 1000 euro, which means your average unit will be 20. What you have to do is make sure you obtain a VALUE price. Punters see staking plans as a panacea for poor systems. Killer staking plan that reduces losses to a maximum of 2. , 1. There are many staking plans such as Level Staking, Percentage Staking, Ratchet Staking, Maria Staking, Banded Staking, 1-4 Laying, etc. They are as follows: HOT FAVOURITE PLAN. The Martingale strategy is more or less a staking plan because you know you will stake a certain amount based on whether you win or lose. Form Analysis (8) Staking Plans (3) Statistics (33) Betfair Laying Favourites (1) Staking Plans. Specific place markets are only available on the day of the race. This bet will payout on first, second and third. Determine your unit stake: your expected strike rate is 50% so you decide to bet 2% of your bankroll on each selection,. Exotic betting is an important way to increase profits from favourites. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. Betting Free Staking Plans Staking Plans for Gambling and Racing Find a staking plan to manage your betting bank If you're serious about winning on horse racing or gambling,. 11% to 9. By Mr Money. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. 1. Six placings in a row (five all-ups) at $1. Six steps. Killer staking plan that reduces losses to a maximum of 2. Receive latest horse racing news, race previews and our hand picked selections. 7: Bold Type: Highlights the recommended staking plan of that risk category. Do punters give staking plans a fair go? Frankly, I don't think they do. Racerate. Sure, there may be days when this is not the case, but those days are few and far between. Place Level Stakes Loss on turnover: - 8. In this way, regardless of your budget, you can maximize your earnings by managing your budget with a low odds staking plan . 50. 50 Favourites Staking Plan. As promised, this month we are going to take a look at staking methods for trifectas. Superstar 2YO Earthquake is now an even-money ($2. Most stick to the tried-and-proven 6-Point Divisor Plan, about which I wrote a major article in P. 75. This table shows the effects of Secure Staking, Whitaker Staking and the next best recommended staking plans for that type of betting system in comparison to simple level stakes betting (blue column). Sometimes, favourites can go two or three meetings without notching a win. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. In a way, it sums up betting. 57 x 20 = 5. Both favourites were coming back from a spell and could be risked, so the selections were the next four in the betting - Special Grange, Skewiff. Punters betting with serious money probably wont find this plan as useful. Start with a €100 bankroll on the first day of the month. Even if you had 10 straight losers in this price range, you would still have $35 left from a $100 bank. This approach can often be referred to, disparagingly, as. Horse Racing Staking Plans. You might have even tossed in Not Fussy in the first event, and Our Highlander in the fifth, both at less than 2/1 ($2. Percent to Bet – Initial Percentage of the Start Stake relative to the start bank. . Automatically places Back/Lay bets on one or more favourites within the market. Total P/L: 12. 14. With our professional guidance you don't need to have a degree in finance, special trading or programming skills. Study the two daily double races carefully pick one race in which the favourite seems to have a strong chance. Win Strike rate per race: 41. Not bad, eh? Makes you wonder what a couple at 10/1 might do. 00 (~6 MB) This file is based on the standard betting tracker. You also know that if this horse loses you will need to stake another £47 on the next bet, a total of over £160 and you only started off betting £1. Now, in a couple of rules, you have this entire system. The kind of staking plan that works best for them may be different from someone following long-shot bets on horses, or someone betting on the over 2. The Favourites Phenomenon Review blogspot com. However, using the best staking plan may just be as difficult as getting the right bets. Top Dog + Top Box = Top Bet. Only useful on profitable systems. Whatever staking plan you adopt, be prepared for LONG losing runs. Sometimes, favourites can go two or three meetings without notching a win. As can be seen from the table below, with a 40% strike rate you can expect to have a losing sequence of 10 somewhere in the series (there is a 75% chance of that happening). Plan #3 – Profit target – staking a certain amount on the first selection to win a specific amount, using loss recovery and stopping at a winner or after 5 losses. 5 units represents a maximum confidence bet and therefore your maximum stake ($50), while 0. Take bet 10 above and you can see that a stake of £35 is required to win just £15 and you have already laid out over £85. These are the results with level stakes, but the right staking plan can get even more out of it. Even if you can't find 4-1 each-way, 7-2 each-way is still theoretically a fair bet: $14 straight-out would win $70 at 5-1 * $20 each-way at 7-2 gives you a profit of $70 for the win, and $17. 5/2. 10 odds strategy. betting at short prices), 5% is an acceptable figure. Take 100 units out for the first day. In a way, it sums up betting. Many of you may have to work the plan off the pre-post prices alone. Establish average prize money figures for every horse in the race (life time earnings divided by the number of starts) 2. Determine your unit stake: your expected strike rate is 50% so you. Originally, the plan came from America and was specifically designed for betting on the 1st, 2nd and 3rd favourites in each race, but only if the favourite was. The first is the aforementioned Partial Place Plan and the second is a plan known as Oscar's Grind, developed by a roulette-playing gambler at the casinos. 50 for the place. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. 40, with some punters going up to 1. The performance of favourites in Ascot this week (only two and a joint-favourite have obliged since Tuesday) reminds me to remind you that in this world of laying, there is money to be made in taking on favourites. For example if the profit target is $100 and a runner is at $6 the punter will bet $20. 2%. Five steps. 2 of your £100 bank means a £20 bet. 5 per cent, while the staking plan returns a 59 units profit which equates to a Profit On Turnover (POT) of 13. A2. Now, every time you strike a loser you remain on the same stake as you bet. 66% of your bank. readers and I've noticed a similar vein running through many of them-how to bet safely and yet still make a healthy profit? The most common queries regard betting two or more horses a race. See moreThe Favourites Only Staking Plan is used ONLY for betting on race favourites which of course have a long term strike rate of generally between 31% and 33%. In his book Commonsense Betting, which is arguably the finest book written on the betting and the mathematics of horse-racing, US author Dick Mitchell wrote about various staking plans. STAKING SECRETS (Part 3) By Neale Yardley. In this simulation, we used the Kelly Criterion formula for proportional sports betting. And they aren't much fun either! So why not put $25 on each of two, using a steady selection plan ALL YEAR to support you? The plan could be (for example) the first two-year-old prepost favourite on Friday morning, and the favourite in whichever race has the fewest number of runners before. First off, we’ll take you through some well-known staking plans that punters use to stay in control of their bank roll. Not one, not two, this time it’s. If on the other hand you were placing £10 on each horse you would be down by £30, nearly six times the loss than using level returns. If we take a hypothetical place treble of three favourites each paying, say, $1. You would have many good strikes. The method, as you will probably realise, is designed to sort out true favourites. Therefore 10% of the $1000 wallet should be bet: $100. Th. Your Dutch Bets can be split into 3 main types. 3 per cent on turnover, while level stakes loses 25 per cent! Quite a difference. 50. Win and Place (25) Parlays (25) Percentage Betting (12) Big Six (4) Caulfiled Cup Melbourne Cup Group Races (10) Doubles (26) A Range of staking approaches per article (104) Exactas (2) Multiple Betting (40) Favourites (2)Do punters give staking plans a fair go? Frankly, I don't think they do. 1. $6 on each, plus a $1 double all up. THE RULES: 1. g. THE PARTIAL PLACE PLAN . On that day they either won as favourites or they won at 15/1 and 20/1. Low Risk High Reward Staking Plan Draw No Bet. I think he was right. Some observations though. Horse Racing Systems. There was absolutely nothing to go. This will help you visualize the property boundaries and make sure the stakes are properly aligned. Some observations though. 75 to $3. They are as follows: HOT FAVOURITE PLAN. 50. The second favourite must be 7-2 or longer in the betting. Critics have lambasted divisor betting because they say you can end up chasing your tail and betting huge amounts of. Over the years I have received hundreds of letters from P. Favourites. We cover golf news, golf equipment, golf odds, us open golf, pga tour, liv golf, and more. Books have been and still are the best source of general information, and this applies at least as much in the art of racehorse selection and staking as in any other field. 2 which seems amazingly good value. Over the years, enough has been written about the fact that betting on favourites is not profitable, even if they do win roughly 30 per cent of races. Your return for Bank One is $20 at 5/1, or $120. Over 4-1. Pick out one city on which to operate. From Adrian Massey’s website. The best courses, in my opinion, are Geelong, Ballarat, Bendigo and Warrnambool, so we'll look first at them in this third article in our series on the secrets of the racetracks of Australia. So I wanted to find out what staking plan was best for. 2 odds daily. Before looking into progression betting and betting to prices, I will look at some more general staking concepts and explain the. However, under the selection rules with the poll, the average odds should be close to 3/1, or better than 3/1, although if a bettor were using the staking plan on his own selections he would, no doubt, occasionally come up with short-priced choices. The favourite must be 2-1 or shorter in the betting. TheSpecial Factor. Let’s say you have built the 1-2-3-1-2-1 sequence to get a €10 profit. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. Some punters like to bet for a win, others for a place, still others love the quinellas or trifectas, or doubles. Staking Plan For Short Priced Favourites VK. Above you saw the excel. With this method, your bet should be your edge divided by the odds. Once you’ve located the corners, drive the stakes into the ground so they’re securely in place. Staking Plans. A slight variant on the level stakes plan is to wager the same percentage of your account balance on each selection. M. Leave a. Return for a 4-1 double would be $5. Races qualifying: 6414. The best staking plan in the world will not work unless the punter can. 3. In fact, both HAD to be at 3-1 or under before you bet them. Happy Families is not just a card game. No data found. Staking Plan For Short Priced Favourites. We can go to the “Staking Plan Settings” tab and click on “Edit Staking Plan Settings”. With a betting bank, play safe and divide it into two. 14). PROFESSIONALS WHO BET BY INSTINCT (Part 2) I thought we'd take time out to pause and reflect in this part of my series on staking. So two favourites at less than 2/1 can make a pretty decent profit. Includes a new stakes plan that combines which best points of the top ranked staking plans for betting systems. Horse B = 25 / 73. 70 each way on Horse B, equaling a saver bet of $3. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. It’s also worth noting that some people trade the percentage stakes for level monetary stakes. Win Level Stakes Loss on turnover: -11. THE SAFE INSURANCE PLAN My idea with this plan is to provide you with a staking idea that gives you the chance of good returns, and yet provides a key element of insurance against big losses. Australia Sports Betting has developed a free staking plan Excel spreadsheet which doubles as a betting tracker. Bots can be setup to bet at a custom time, with custom staking plans and custom trade-out/hedge rules pre-event or in-play. 14). "With this plan I am guaranteed to ultimately finish in front," he proudly boasted. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. Some people would say that a happy family is the basis of a successful life. Sports betting can be a risky venture, but it can also be incredibly rewarding. He told me that at Longchamps you could make big profits by backing two horses in the one race, even if both were at 3-1 and under. Column H's formula can be varied to suit whatever your target amount is (and comfort level). 20, leaving you losing £1. For example, in a flat race at Ffos Las in July a horse named Flutterbee lined up as a 7/4 favourite. Section A A1. You only go forward when you win - and you follow the above progression list to determine how far forward you go. Therefore, while you could earn a profit of £10, you will lose £31 if Laser Guided wins the race. He felt the strength of his betting was a very careful selection of his bets, mostly choosing short-priced favourites, and then applying his staking plan as a place bet. THE SAFE INSURANCE PLAN My idea with this plan is to provide you with a staking idea that gives you the chance of good returns, and yet provides a key element of insurance against big losses. Start every series with a $10 wager (or a multiple) on the first bet. Say your bank is £100 and your percentage to wager is 5% then your initial stake is £5. The favourite must be 2-1 or shorter in the betting. Fine tune your selections and staking plan in TSM. This project is a fork (offshoot) of the standard version (v2. In this way, regardless of your budget, you can maximize your. 1/2 to 10/11 win 54% Place 77%. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. You begin by betting 1/20th of the capital, making the bet 10 units on all selections. Using "The Sportsman" pre post market as my guide over the five main metropolitan meetings there were 16 pre post favourites quoted at $3. 5 per cent, while the staking plan returns a 59 units profit which equates to a Profit On Turnover (POT) of 13. O. Big Six (2) Caulfiled Cup Melbourne Cup Group Races (5) Doubles (13) Exactas (2) Favourites (2) Fibonacci Sequence (1) First Four (9) Frame Betting (1)The maximum amount to bet is set at 10%. In other words, if the favourite is not $3. If there is sufficient confidence in the favourite winning, the punter should increase. It's not something they can ever be cured of, but this staking plan at least attempts to put them in a better position to overcome the inherent financial dangers posed by chain betting. In this case, he would have $1. Track Secrets (Part 3)The price is 6/4 Favourite. 07% depending on the time. Well it really is quite simple and soundly based. You have to make a decision as to just how much of your Base Bank you are prepared to lay out percentage-wise on each round of bets; this is a crucial issue (as is the correct concept of a Base Bank). You might like to stick with prepost favourites. Horse A 28. Then do your other selections, never picking more than 2 horses per leg. JOIN NOW FOR $156/Year. There was a 3rd selection for the Australian Greyhound Betting System that didn’t place on the night in the first race at Wentworth Park Greyhounds called Lady Divine. It is the equivalent of an odds-on wager. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. Would you believe a return of $253? All you are doing is betting $6 the singles and $1 the doubles as follows. In The Staking Plans Book, we found that Percentage Staking was actually the best staking plan for the Colossus 3 strategy. For instance, if you have just backed a 5-2 winner, you advance two steps. the best way to go about it is look at your system you are going to use and check the following things ; Does your horse racing system make a profit at level stakes betting . Note how I also increased the target_rate to 73% as second favourites are expected to lose more often than the first ones. As the race turned out, they ran 1st and 2nd, with Theseo the winner. For the odds range of less than 2. Bet strongly on true favourites. In this informative article, we guide you through the best staking plans for betting, truly a game-changer for anyone keen on boosting their success rate. 3%. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. THE RUFE NAYLOR PLAN. This way, even after encountering a losing streak. Sure, there may be days when this is not the case, but those days are few and far between. You can then trade out of your position for a profit before the favourite makes a comeback. Kelly Staking is in its simplest form, your edge divided by the fractional price your’re backing at. Initially, forum users likely believed the Maria Staking. Staking Plans The Good the Bad and the Downright Ugly. 75. Viist The Bet Machine. It all comes back to volume and size of bets. These are just a few ideas to help you get on the profit curve path using progression plans. Critics have lambasted divisor betting because they say you can end up chasing your tail and betting huge amounts of. In handicaps of 8+ runners, divide the outright win odds by four. Profit on turnover: 25 per cent. When your stake is 3 units eachway or higher, drop back one full point after a winner. Every Back/Lay Staking Plan in TSM is available to use in The Bet Machine. The worksheet tracks your bets and provides in-depth performance data as well as a profit graph. . Every Back/Lay Staking Plan in TSM is available to use in The Bet Machine. You add another £7 to your stake so that when White Willow wins you will select up an additional £10. Over 4-1. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. 00 to win a paltry £1. The Secure Staking Plan is very simple. Take 100 units out for the first day. Deposit: $10 Grosvenor Review. Labouchere. Keep reading to find out. Used in conjunction with Gruss Betting Assistant, TBM is compatible with both Betfair and Betdaq Betting Exchange. THE PARTIAL PLACE PLAN . You should now be able to understand why Barry put so much work into The Retirement Staking Plan. 57 / 73. Use your form reading skills to decide if a candidate is a strong favourite or not. A staking plan helps you manage your risk and eliminates the potential for bigger losses than you can stand to take on any given wager. Once you have a great system, use ratcheted staking. Forget about “lucky” numbers, they have nothing to do with your win rate. Staking plans for every situation to maximise your profits and limit your losses. Study the two daily double races carefully pick one race in which the favourite seems to have a strong chance. 00) or 10/1 (11. Used in conjunction with Gruss Betting Assistant, TBM is compatible with both Betfair and Betdaq Betting Exchange. That means relatively small returns compared to your stake, but with an increases chance of actually winning the bet. Evidence enough of their worth, taking the past as the guide, is that if a favourite fits into this statistical group the percentages indicate it has a strong winning chance. The required. Starters qualifying: 6414. Th. 57 x 20 = 7. Well, work it out. Multiple Strategies bot is available with V2 version. For a year now, Banker Weekly has been publishing some of the very best staking and selection methods ever produced in Australia. (In past times it was used to support 1st and 2nd forecast favourites in 3 mile handicap chases at the Principal National Hunt meeting of the day. 50 chance and $28 on the $3. 40 for a profit of $16. Read the following rules carefully and you will understand fully how to operate the Succulent 600 Plan. 50 winner, that’s six bets, and that’s $6. 00) to place. For example, in a flat race at Ffos Las in July a horse named Flutterbee lined up as a 7/4 favourite. We set a €1 initial stake: First bet: €1 stake and lose. Bet Two and Bet Three are also one unit, as 4 - 1 any winner will return us at least $5, or at least 66 per cent on outlay. While it might look a bit funny to call our Plan of the Month “Plan for the Year”, it doesn’t hurt to remind yourself every now and again of some of the fundamental aspects of racing. Track Secrets (Part 3)A 78% strike rate says you`re hitting winners with 22% of your lays, but at an average lay price of 4. The 1326 staking plan does not go bankrupt on staking 1% of the bank, but when we increase the staking size of the recommended Target Profit and Percentage Staking plans to 5%, their profit levels eclipse the 1326. Whatever staking plan you adopt, be prepared for LONG losing runs. So, if you have a £500 bankroll on a 5% level stake, your first bet will be for £25. Detailed information on Horse racing - Horses, Jockeys, Trainers and tracks – Join over 100,000 punters who use Practical PuntingStaking Plans - Chasing Losing Bets. O. The two plans I have come up with are suitable for win and place betting. Now to find out what to bet on each runner: You divide each horse’s individual percentage by the overall percentage figure – then multiply by the total amount you want to stake on the event ($20 in this example). The best way to understand the lay 1-4 staking plan is by working through an example. 5 goals markets in football. Greyhound racing is probably the best system under which a punter in Australia can risk - or rather, invest - his hard earned dough. The plan, in laymans terms is simple. By Alan. The Punt Master. 52 points, while based on the Lay 1-4 Staking Plan, I’m up 14. Choose multiple favourites automatically ie. WITH KELLY. The best possible staking plan using only low odds 👌; Step-by-step instructions on how to build the best staking plan for low odds 👣; Is it worthwhile to invest in a low-risk strategy?. M. In this, the final of a three-part series, Heale Yardley looks at how to grade races according to their predictability so as to offer a means for determining relative bet sizes from one race to another. Level Staking . 20 and 1. 6: Red background: Bankrupt staking plans – These staking plans went bankrupt and their settings are too dangerous to be considered. With a betting bank, play safe and divide it into two. Start with the favourite Reject any horses not ridden by a top jockey Reject any horses without good form at the course Reject any horses trained by a yard with a. 25). 358 – lay the favourite in certain races if its odds are a certain price, and to a specialist lay staking plan called the Lay 1-4 staking plan. 5. Each Saturday would introduce a new family into our network. The best way to understand the lay 1-4 staking plan is by working through an example. The table below summarises the average, median and maximum betting bankrolls achieved for each staking plan after 10,000 runs of 500 simulated binary bets, along with the implied probabilities of going bust and of making a profit based on those runs. This ebook encompasses many of the tried and tested classic staking methods. Whatever staking plan you adopt, be prepared for LONG losing runs. They are as follows: HOT FAVOURITE PLAN. Odds-on favourites won around 58 % of their races losing 6. You would have many good strikes. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't.